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UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Lobov – Nashville, Tennessee


(Last Weekend’s Record 1-3, Overall 18-21-1) 

The UFC continues its tour of the south this weekend with a stop off in Nashville. Before we look ahead, here’s a rundown of the event that was, UFC Kansas City

  • Renato Moicano and Jeremy Stephens had a proper war. Stephens remained aggressive throughout the whole fight but it was Moicano who ended up getting the better of the exchanges and the ground game. He took a hard fought decision victory.
  • Robert Whittaker steamrolled Jacare Souza for his 7th straight victory. While that might knock Souza out of title contention for the time being, Whittaker sits pretty as the hottest fighter in the division. His hands and his take down defense proved too much for the defense of Souza who ended up going down after a head kick in the 2nd round and got finished with strikes on the ground.
  • The rise of Michelle Waterson took a hit as well, as she was submitted by UFC vet, and likely the woman to get the next 115 pound title shot, Rose Namajunas. She wore out Waterson on the ground, dropped her with a head kick, and was able to sink in the choke for the 2nd round submission.
  • Demetrious Johnson put on a clinic for his record tying 10th straight title defense. He had Wilson Reis mostly swinging at air, and schooled him on the feet. Johnson kept the fight standing till the 3rd round where he scored a takedown, landed hard strikes on Reis and then smoothly moved in an armbar for the submission victory.

Now this weeks action features a good slew of bouts that have the potential to be very exciting. We’ve got a 6 pack of picks this week. The dance card kicks off at 10pm EST in the Music City on FS1. Let’s get to it.

#13 Jake Ellenberger (+160 underdog) vs Mike Perry (-185 favorite) 

Jake Ellenberger is a known commodity in the middleweight division. Any given night he could beat anyone out there, but is almost just as likely to suffer defeat. The exciting fighter is coming off a loss, but runs into an opponent made for him. Ellenberger boasts big power, and Mike Perry is a guy who loves to rush forward. A relative newcomer Perry lost to Alan Joban in his last fight, and is looking to get back on track, but his style and his chin will defiantly be tested in this contest.

Ellenberger by TKO, Round 2

Joe Lauzon (+180 underdog) vs Stevie Ray (-220 favorite) 

Joe Lauzon just keeps ticking away. The veteran is also relevant and a guy who looks to be a gatekeeper at 155 these days. He’s fought everyone and seen everything. Stevie Ray probably won’t present a unique challenge to him, but the young fighter has speed and youth on his side. The better puncher Ray wants the fight to stay on the feet, while Lauzon will bang for a round or two, but knows his best chance is by using wrestling to move for a submission or TKO. Ray’s defense will be tested but if it holds there should be no reason he can’t take the fight.

Ray by Decision 

#7 John Dodson (-410 favorite) vs #10 Eddie Wineland (+330 underdog) 

Two of the quicker guys in the 135 pound division are squaring off in the contest between Dodson and Wineland. Unable to upend Johnson at 125 Dodson wants to get into the title picture at 135. He’s got to do that against Eddie Wineland, who’s in the middle of a career resurgence. Dodson has the edge in speed but, Wineland has a significant height and reach advantage, which could prove to be more important. With both having knockout power I’m doubtful this makes it to the final bell.

Wineland by TKO, Round 3 

#8 Ovince Saint Preux (-185 favorite) vs Marcos Rogerio De Lima (+160 underdog) 

Saint Preux is having a spot of rough luck recently. Losses to Jon Jones, and Jimi Manuwa are understandable. His last loss against Volkan Oezdemir was much more surprising. That being said Saint Preux is an athletic fighter with good all around skills. De Lima is a power puncher, possibly the hardest hitter in the whole division. Saint Preux is known for taking a good shot, but that strategy might prove costly. If he can use his athleticism and mix in wrestling he’s got a good shot to get back on the winning track.

Saint Preux by Decision 

#14 Al Iaquinta (-420 favorite) vs Diego Sanchez (+335 underdog) 

Diego Sanchez may no longer call himself “Nightmare” but he can still torment the mind of his opponent. He’s got good grappling and submissions and even though he can be wild on his feet, he’s powerful and quick. Al Iaquinta was a rising star at 155 until injuries put him on the shelf. He’s worked tirelessly on his boxing in recent years, and is likely among the tops in the division. Conventional wisdom says its boxer vs ground fighter, but Sanchez is favoring the standup as of late but might change his tune if Iaquinta tunes him up early.

Iaquinta by TKO, Round 2 

#4 Cub Swanson (-680 favorite) vs Artem Lobov (+490 underdog) 

Lobov called out Swanson and got his wish. Lobov is a guy who will walk through power shots to the knockout blow of his own. He also knows how to fire from odd angles to create unpredictable offense. The issue is Swanson is the owner of a 5 inch reach advantage. Swanson has creative offense. Watch the Dooho Choi fight for evidence of that. He’s also go an iron chin. Again use the Choi fight for reference. Plus if a brawl erupts Swanson has better counters and is known for his ability to finish a fight. Seriously I can’t stress this enough, watch the Dooho Choi fight for reference. Its amazing. On paper this isn’t a good match for Lobov. We’ve seen stranger things happen but look for another strong performance from Swanson.

Swanson by TKO, Round 1 


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