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UFC Fight Night: Twice Upon a Time in Mexico City

Last Weeks Record 2-3, Overall Record 31-31-1

The UFC will be returning to Mexico City this weekend for the 2nd time in less than a year. It will also be bringing some local favorites along for the ride. Before we break down the matchups lets take a quick look back at UFC 214

  • Volkan Oezdemir shocked the division by putting a whopping on top contender Jimi Manuwa. This happened 22 seconds into the fight, as Oezdemir dropped a retreating Manuwa, and made a huge statement. Its possible he’s in line for a title shot, or a #1 contenders match against fellow European Alex Gustafsson.
  • Robbie Lawler came back from a year layoff with a win over Cowboy Cerrone. Despite being edged in the striking department, Lawler rocked Cerrone in the first and stopped almost all of his takedown attempts to take the unanimous decision.
  • Cris Cyborg came out swinging and walked away with the belt. It took three rounds which was more than most people predicted as Tonya Evinger proved to be tough as nails, and put up a valiant effort in her TKO defeat.
  • Tyron Woodley held off Damien Maia’s takedowns, and retained his title by decision. It was, however, a title fight that featured almost no real exchanges. The fans booed for a good portion of the fight, and its cost Woodley a dream match against GSP, who is once against slated to meet Michael Bisping, this time in November.
  • Jon Jones came back in a big way. He held off a very game Daniel Cormier for two rounds, and then opened up his offense in the 3rd round. He landed a devastating head kick then pounced on Cormier and beat him down until Big John McCarthy stopped the fight. He is now two fights away from tying Anderson Silva’s all time win streak, and once again considered the best fighter in the world.

Now we’re moving on to this Saturday at 10pm on FS1. This exciting card is full of even matchups, and anchored by a matchup between highly touted flyweight contenders. Let’s get to it.

Alejandro Perez (-105 even) vs Andre Soukhamthath (-125 favorite) 

These two bout fought Albert Morales as closely as anyone could. Now they are fighting each other.  Both did this on the UFC Fight Pass prelims, and now are stepping up the main card for the first time. The pressure will be on both of these guys who are careful strikers, though Perez is a bit more likely to look to clinch and move the fight to the ground. Odds wise has this as a toss up, but Perez drew Morales, and Soukhamthath ended up losing.

Perez by Decision 

Sam Alvey ( -140 favorite) vs Rashad Evans (+110 underdog) 

This is Rashad’s second fight at middleweight, and it against a very dangerous opponent in Alvey. Evans is in the twilight of his career, but a win over Alvey would breath life into his name. Alvey won his fight on the prelim of the last Mexico City card and these days is winning more often than he’s losing. Evans has heavy hands and good boxing, but is still a great wrestler. Alvey has wicked takedown d so this fight should stay on the feet, and Alvey’s wild and powerful hands may give Evans fits if he tries to counter strike too often. A knockout for either of these men is a safe prediction.

Alvey by TKO Round 3 

Martin Bravo (-300 favorite) vs Humberto Bandenay (+230 underdog) 

Bandenay is the fighting pride of Peru. He’s making his UFC debut and looking to make a statement. He loves to finish fights and push the pace. This may play into Martin Bravo’s hands. The TUF Latin America winner is making his second foray into the octagon, since last November in Mexico City. With the home crowd heavily behind its native son he’ll need to throw his hands smart against the powerful Bandenay. His best chance may be on the ground, where he has the distinct advantage. He’d be smart to look to it early and often.

Bravo by Submission, Round 1 

Alan Jouban (-175 favorite) vs Niko Price (+145 underdog) 

A fight of the night candidate, Jouban is looking to get back into the top 15 mix at welterweight, while Price is looking to vault into the rankings for the first time. Price has heavy hands, and is no slouch on the ground. Jouban is a wicked striker, who fights with pressure and uses his size and reach very well. He’s also a veteran of exciting fights, having three Fight of the Night bonuses on his resume. Price might look to test his ground game, a spot where Gunnar Nelson found an opening to win, but Jouban has been working hard to sure up that part of his game. Its likely this one will be decided on the feet.

Jouban by TKO, Round 3 

#9 Randa Markos (+125 underdog) vs Alexa Grasso (-155 favorite) 

Grasso is the next big thing in the women’s straweight division. She stumbled in her last fight against Felice Herrig, but was very impressive as she outclasses a vet in Heather Jo Clark in her debut, last November in Mexico City. She’s a quick striker, who’s good on her feet movement wise. Markos is a former Ultimate Fighter winner, and just earned a victory over former champ Carla Esparza. She’s got a pressure style, with powerful hands, and a great wrestling base. Grasso had an issue with Herrig’s wrestling, and Markos is even better. If Grasso can stuff the takedowns then the edge for her is clear.

Markos by Decision 

#6 Sergio Pettis (+140 underdog) vs #7 Brandon Moreno (-170 favorite) 

If you think the name Pettis sounds familiar its because Serigo is the younger brother of former lightweight champion Anthony Pettis. Sergio’s striking is technically beautiful, honed by former kickboxing world champ and renowned trainer Duke Rufus. Moreno is more wild on the feet, but is effective, and often uses that to get the fight to the ground, where he’s world class. Pettis is more used to the ground than his older brother, but its still Moreno’s advantage. Pettis wants to be on the outside, and Moreno is going to clinch with him or die trying. Its the type of style that will wear on someone, the question is who.

Moreno by Decision 

Odds from Bovada.LV. in no way endorses gambling. Do you have a gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER 

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